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Engadget Conspiracy Theory: Gates Betting HD-DVD To Fail

Engadget has a post by Ross Rubin theorizing that Microsoft is backing HD-DVD in order to guarantee a bloody format war between HD-DVD and Blu-Ray, and thus result in neither format winning. Its an excellent idea, that Microsoft has more to gain when the game is about creating better, more secure and more tranferable formats, and loses if people continue to rely on shiny round disks that don’t play well with Media Center PCs.

I love the idea, and were it true, I would applaud MS for it. I don’t want a new DVD standard. I like the old one, its fine, and we don’t need higher def yet, at least not as the base standard. DVD is still a young format, and doesn’t need to be replaced by disks that are just as unreliable, but bigger.

I’ve got another theory: The last thing Microsoft wants is the storage medium of choice to be owned by Sony, and they want a format war to ensure Sony loses. They don’t think they can win, but they do hope to crash the party. After all, I’m not buying higher-def until the format war is over, and neither will most consumers. The longer the war, the more Sony loses, and the more time Microsoft has to make Media Center more important than the physical disk media.

February 15th, 2006 Posted by | General, Media Center, Windows | 2 comments



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2 Comments »

  1. Microsoft Really Wants HD-DVD to Fail?…

    That’s the conspiracy theory floated by Ross Rubin at Engadget.

    “How is that good for Microsoft?”

    “Simple. Microsoft really has nothing to gain from either format winning. Just listen to any……

    Trackback by MicrosoftBlog.com | February 16, 2006

  2. Sounds great. I hope both formats lose, though, with the weird DRM-stuff on them. But well, at least there is a war, which will prevent people from choosing a format right now. The longer it takes a format to win, the better.

    I already convinced some people not to buy either format, and just to stick with DVDs for now.

    If it’s just about storage, holographic discs seem far superior to me anyway.

    Comment by Tim | February 17, 2006

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